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James Hawthorne Professor Emeritus
Formal Epistemology, |
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James Hawthorne Professor Emeritus
Formal Epistemology, |
I mainly work on logics of evidential support, especially the kind of probabilistic inductive logic called Bayesian Inference or Bayesian Confirmation Theory. I also work on logics of comparative support, belief, and comparative plausibility.
About my work and views on Probability and Statistics:
James Hawthorne :
in A. Hajek and V.F. Hendricks (eds.), Probability and Statistics: 5 Questions,
Chapter 6, Automated Press, 2009, pp. 65-74.
final draft pdf
Inductive Logic and Confirmation Theory:
A Logic of Comparative Support: Qualitative Conditional Probability Relations Representable by Popper Functions :
in A. Hajek and C. Hitchcock (eds.),
The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, Oxford U. Press, 2016, Chapter 13. pp. 277-295.
final draft pdf.
Inductive
Logic : The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Sept. 2004, revised Feb. 2008,
major revision June 2011),
Edward N. Zalta (ed.); pdf version available from theSEP, 151 pages.
Online version at
<http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/logic-inductive/>. Draft of April 2011 revision:
final draft pdf.
Confirmation
Theory : in Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay and Malcolm Forster (eds.),
Philosophy of Statistics:
Handbook of the Philosophy of Science, Volume 7, 2011, Elsevier, pp. 333-389.
final draft pdf
Bayesian Confirmation
Theory : in S. French and J. Saatsi (eds.),
The Continuum Companion to the Philosophy of Science, 2011, Continuum Press, pp. 197-213.
final draft pdf
The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation :
with Branden Fitelson,
Philosophical Perspectives, 24, Epistemology, 2010, pp. 207-241, Elsevier.
final draft pdf
An Even Better Solution to the Paradox of the Ravens :
supplement to
The Wason Task(s) and the Paradox of Confirmation,
13 pages.
final draft pdf
How
Bayesian Confirmation Theory Handles the Paradox of the Ravens :
with Branden Fitelson, in James Fetzer and Ellery Eells (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science, 2010, Springer.
final draft pdf
Degree-of-Belief
and Degree-of-Support: Why Bayesians Need Both Notions :
Mind, v. 114, no. 454, 2005, pp. 277-320.
final draft pdf
Re-solving
Irrelevant Conjunction with Probabilistic Independence : with Branden Fitelson,
Philosophy of Science, v. 71, no. 4, 2004, pp. 505-514.
final draft pdf
On the
Nature of Bayesian Convergence :
PSA1994, v. 1, 1994, pp. 241-249.
final draft pdf
Bayesian
Induction Is Eliminative Induction : Philosophical Topics, v. 21,
no. 1, 1993, pp. 99-138.
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Giving Up Judgement Empiricism: The Bayesian
Epistemology of Bertrand Russell and Grover Maxwell : in C. W. Savage and C. A.
Anderson (eds.), Rereading Russell: Essays on Bertrand Russell's Metaphysics
and Epistemology, Minnesota Studies in Philosophy of Science, v. 12, 1989; University
of Minnesota Press, pp. 234-248.
final draft pdf
The Logic of Judgment and Belief:
Voting in Search of the Public Good:
the Probabilistic Logic of Majority Judgments : unpublished manuscript, 2006.
final draft pdf
The Lockean
Thesis and the Logic of Belief : Franz Huber and Christoph
Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief, 2009, Synthese Library 342, pp. 49-74.
final draft pdf
Three Models
of Sequential Belief Updating on Uncertain Evidence : Journal of Philosophical
Logic, v. 33, no. 1, 2004, pp. 89-123.
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The Preface,
the Lottery, and the Logic of Belief : with Luc Bovens, Mind, v.
108, no. 430, 1999, pp. 241-264.
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Logics of Nonmonotonic Conditionals Related to Conditional Probabilities:
Lossy Inference Rules and their Bounds: a Brief Review :
with David Makinson, in A. Koslow, A. Buchsbaum (eds.),
The Road to Universal Logic, Studies in Universal Logic, Springer, 2015, pp. 385-407.
final draft pdf
A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations,
Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures :
Studia Logica, v. 102, no. 4, 2014, pp. 731-749.
final draft pdf
Appendix to A Primer on
Rational Consequence Relations,Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures :
appendix to
A Primer on Rational Consequence Relations,
Popper Functions, and their Ranked Structures,
unpublished -- only available here -- pdf
New Horn Rules for Probabilistic Consequence: Is O+ Enough? :
in S. O. Hansson (ed.), David Makinson on Classical Methods for Non-Classical Problems,
Outstanding Contributions to Logic, v. 3, Springer, 2014, pp. 157-166.
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The Quantitative/Qualitative
Watershed for Rules of Uncertain Inference : with David Makinson, Studia Logica,
v. 86, no. 2, 2007, pp. 247-297.
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Nonmonotonic
Conditionals that Behave Like Conditional Probabilities Above a Threshold : Journal
of Applied Logic, v. 5, no. 4, 2007, pp. 625-637.
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On the
Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities: Predicate Logic :
Journal of Philosophical Logic, v. 27, no. 1, 1998, pp. 1-34.
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On the
Logic of Nonmonotonic Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities : Journal
of Philosophical Logic, v. 25, no. 2, 1996, pp. 185-218.
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A Semantic
Approach to Non-Monotonic Entailments :
in J. F. Lemmer and L. N. Kanal (eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
2, 1988, Elsevier Science Publishers, B.V. (North-Holland), pp. 251-262.
final draft pdf
Logic, Mathematics, and the Sciences:
Mathematical
Instrumentalism Meets the Conjunction Objection : Journal of Philosophical
Logic, v. 25, no. 4, 1996, pp. 363-397.
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For Whom
the Bell Arguments Toll : with Michael Silberstein, Synthese, v. 102,
1995, pp. 99-138.
final draft pdf
Validity
in Intensional Languages: A New Approach : with William H. Hanson, Notre Dame
Journal of Formal Logic, v. 26, no. 1, 1985, pp. 9-35.
final draft pdf